It is officially that time of year again – Atlantic hurricane season has started, and NOAA is predicting above-average hurricane activity between now and November 30. With a predicted 14-21 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes with 3-6 of those predicted to be major, impacted regions have the potential to see a busy season this year.
In this release from NOAA, they explain the reasoning behind their predictions, discuss the importance of preparation, and lists the enhancements they’ve made to storm related products.
“Early preparation and understanding your risk is key to being hurricane resilient and climate-ready,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo.
To read the full article and learn what NOAA is doing to better understand and predict the intensity of hurricanes, click here.
Conversely, NOAA is predicting a 60% chance that the tropical cyclone activity will be below normal in the Central Pacific regions. Matthew Rosencrans, NOAA’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center reports, “El Niña is likely to cause strong vertical wind shear making it more difficult for hurricanes to develop or move into the Central Pacific Ocean.”
During the Central Pacific hurricane season, which begins June 1st and runs through November 30th, only 2-4 tropical cyclones are predicted for this region in 2022. A near-normal season will generally see 4-5 hurricanes.
Read the full article here and learn more about the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and what they do to provide decision support services to the public.
If you live near the coast, now is a good time to prepare and be ready for whatever the season will bring. To help prepare, listen to the National Ocean Service podcast to learn how NOS responds to hurricanes and what steps you can take to be ready. And check out IOOS Hurricane Season Resources here.
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